Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9acfa02cd1d6f72243b8a1c5286cbd11a5f79c539d015236708b693321af60bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGC Niceof Lille OSC, OGC Nice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lille OSC | 42c | 57,273$24,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,132.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked OGC Nice | 59c | 25,574$15,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.69 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed OGC Nice | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked OGC Nice | 58c | 4,001$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.11 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed OGC Nice | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed OGC Nice | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OGC Nice | 68c | 2,249$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed OGC Nice | 58c | 1,698$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.58 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked OGC Nice | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lille OSC | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.98 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked OGC Nice | 60c | 1,100$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.59 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Lille OSC | 38c | 823.11$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lille OSC | 40c | 562.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed OGC Nice | 58c | 534.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed OGC Nice | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Lille OSC | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked OGC Nice | 59c | 391.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 370$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Lille OSC | 45c | 291.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Lille OSC | 10c | 264.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed OGC Nice | 58c | 262.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed OGC Nice | 66c | 241.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Lille OSC | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed OGC Nice | 63c | 203.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed OGC Nice | 57c | 199$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed OGC Nice | 60c | 146.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OGC Nice | 62c | 142.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked OGC Nice | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed OGC Nice | 60c | 126$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed OGC Nice | 59c | 122.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Lille OSC | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed OGC Nice | 57c | 119.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lille OSC | 22c | 116.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lille OSC | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed OGC Nice | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked OGC Nice | 62c | 78.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lille OSC | 39c | 74.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Lille OSC | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Lille OSC | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed OGC Nice | 62c | 65.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked OGC Nice | 62c | 65.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed OGC Nice | 62c | 65.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked OGC Nice | 58c | 61.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Lille OSC | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Lille OSC | 38c | 57.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Lille OSC | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed OGC Nice | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lille OSC | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked OGC Nice | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OGC Nice | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed OGC Nice | 62c | 42.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed OGC Nice | 67c | 38.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…090abacked Lille OSC | 31c | 32.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed OGC Nice | 60c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed OGC Nice | 60c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed OGC Nice | 61c | 21.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed OGC Nice | 62c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed OGC Nice | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.