Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12808d37fe61cde6d6d6ed93af95f2f1177a0ea0020f49a7407c701af39a1d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 48c | 2,402$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.09 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 39c | 1,236$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.68 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 965.75$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 852.99$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 783.42$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.86 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 17c | 399$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 39c | 298.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 51c | 239.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 53c | 210.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 173.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 127.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 99.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 45c | 53.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked No | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…e5fcbacked No | 76c | 32.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 32.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…37d2backed No | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 52c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 28.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 51c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 53c | 26.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 48c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 54c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.