Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff285dc1de19a47ba4aa6699f4cf969703948a2c2221e5547f9320337dd94600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 5,005$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 6c | 3,070$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.91 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 14c | 2,487$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 58c | 1,877$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 67c | 1,762$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 42c | 1,675$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked No | 58c | 1,580$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,503$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed No | 10c | 1,419$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 43c | 1,229$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 57c | 799.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 687.68$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.73 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 43c | 667.08$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 620.06$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 58c | 531.86$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 9c | 512.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 487.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 16c | 461.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 451.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.73 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 15c | 444.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 14c | 439.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 14c | 439.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 13c | 430.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 13c | 430.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 13c | 430.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 10c | 404.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 399.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed No | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 42c | 333$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 44c | 328.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 65c | 325$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…4dbfbacked Yes | 43c | 321.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 10c | 298.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 45c | 293.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Yes | 43c | 291.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 14c | 270.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 235.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 43c | 224.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 67c | 218.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 214.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 198.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Yes | 45c | 183.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 181.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed No | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 14c | 168.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked No | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed No | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 57c | 147.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Yes | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 78c | 139.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 42c | 115.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 105.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 100.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 53c | 97.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 93.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 78c | 88.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Yes | 43c | 71.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 71.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 44c | 70.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Yes | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 65.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 25c | 62.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 46c | 62.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 58c | 58.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…aee3backed Yes | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf24…0039backed Yes | 44c | 42.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 54c | 38.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…56babacked No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 57c | 34.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…368fbacked Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.