TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No60c63,323$38,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,064.566952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c21,317$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,108.3562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c19,894$7,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.7852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c14,717$3,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c11,861$4,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,610.721,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No60c5,958$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.331957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c5,400$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes74c4,761$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.171936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No63c3,017$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.71668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c2,801$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.0848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c1,973$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.551,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c1,336$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No60c1,304$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.66553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No72c1,278$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.99558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes39c1,276$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.648143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes40c993.86$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.483537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes42c809.52$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes39c747.69$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.64348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c731.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No60c692.71$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.083354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No66c689.16$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.528058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes40c669.55$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2330448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No39c508.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.768247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes40c505$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.17648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c501.5$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes41c450$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.733360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes40c400.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.331729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Yes41c357.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes37c355.01$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes33c301.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.448435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No60c300.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c299.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9912647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No68c295.69$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…40c4backed Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No30c265.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.375463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes39c260.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.447549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No28c257.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.712378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c255.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes20c254.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1113246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes40c254.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.862948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes40c254.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.011050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No29c249.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.061560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8928…2fe5backed Yes41c234.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9660%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c224.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c223.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes40c222$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c211.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes33c209.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c207.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1723342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes40c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.674940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes41c189.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes27c186$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No79c157.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4112556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No80c156.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.573268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2921…1706backed Yes22c155.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes35c154.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c152$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0346450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes41c145.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes39c137.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.594050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bf…81c2backed No38c128.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No60c119.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.443554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Yes40c112.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes74c109$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c108$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.764770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6592…b6d7backed Yes41c104.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes40c102.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.253351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes33c101.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4618847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed No59c101.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No29c101.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.332152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes34c100.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes31c100.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1415649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.