Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e93b456e0ffeddd7e8035ebb4bc0c1ae6f691c1ef1948f8ed691419d062054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 70c | 2,460$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,919$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.66 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 4c | 1,268$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 29c | 915.14$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 18c | 556.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 506.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 448.24$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 389.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 250.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked No | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 213.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 8c | 203.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…f5dbbacked Yes | 30c | 199$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 75c | 186.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 186.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 19c | 161.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 30c | 153.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 151.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 151.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 31c | 122.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 110.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 72c | 110.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 28c | 93.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…4c97backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 59.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 59.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…b162backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 70c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…4b93backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 23.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.