TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3be…c163backed Yes74c12,903$9,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.471936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c5,901$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.0171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c5,192$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.551,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c4,549$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.1524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c4,068$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.111,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes72c3,633$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No35c1,371$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.098058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No36c1,359$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.419558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No39c1,178$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.695463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes53c1,111$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No59c1,111$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c1,035$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c999.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.994122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c959.54$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c789.55$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.76742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes63c552.03$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.252030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No40c497.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.94050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No30c486.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.731560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes24c422.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No78c415$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No70c413.04$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.134250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No67c400.16$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No33c375.94$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c372.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes30c316.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.673256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed No71c304.51$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No71c291.54$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No40c247.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes30c236.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.679846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No71c211.53$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.617060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes30c200$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf5…f5dbbacked Yes30c199$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No17c195.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.682378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c166.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No18c164.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.523360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No19c150.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.523145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No19c150.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.523458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes77c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3633148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes77c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked No18c128.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked No39c125.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.02812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes30c110$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes75c101.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6722340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9918245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No42c96.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No48c94.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1315649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No36c88.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.113865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No18c81.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked No71c75.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.852382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No61c72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.025261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes30c71.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.171136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c68.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7218847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c68.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes29c67.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.651926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c67.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4717817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No70c62.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed No39c55.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed Yes40c54.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No21c53.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2112556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No21c53.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.215763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No21c53.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.219960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes30c53.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.394148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes30c53.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9761…9070backed Yes39c51.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes55c43.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9198backed Yes30c43.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8209…bff8backed Yes35c41.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.794100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Yes30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked No71c36.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Yes42c33.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed No39c32.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0360%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes61c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.554245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.062646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143574.3%26 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.