Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10147efa4954de173874cbd4b183d3bae619f0feab0abf59f2109bcb48cfe75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toulouse FCof Racing Club de Lens, Toulouse FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toulouse FC | 60c | 61,037$36,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,414.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 60,250$24,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Toulouse FC | 58c | 3,919$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Toulouse FC | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toulouse FC | 57c | 1,663$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.71 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 1,340$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Racing Club de Lens | 13c | 1,285$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club de Lens | 12c | 1,175$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Racing Club de Lens | 10c | 1,142$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 1,126$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Racing Club de Lens | 25c | 1,086$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Racing Club de Lens | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 919.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 642.37$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toulouse FC | 58c | 600.38$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 12c | 477.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Toulouse FC | 55c | 437.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Toulouse FC | 59c | 409.67$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Toulouse FC | 55c | 393.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 337.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Toulouse FC | 59c | 329.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Toulouse FC | 61c | 322.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Racing Club de Lens | 18c | 299$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 272.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Racing Club de Lens | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Toulouse FC | 61c | 200.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Racing Club de Lens | 15c | 189.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 181.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Racing Club de Lens | 36c | 177.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 176.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Toulouse FC | 69c | 172.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Toulouse FC | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Racing Club de Lens | 18c | 159.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 157.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Racing Club de Lens | 13c | 152.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 148.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Toulouse FC | 65c | 144.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toulouse FC | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Racing Club de Lens | 13c | 125.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…208dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 121.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Racing Club de Lens | 20c | 112.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Toulouse FC | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 86.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Racing Club de Lens | 19c | 83.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 22c | 82.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Racing Club de Lens | 34c | 82.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 80.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Racing Club de Lens | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 58.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 57.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toulouse FC | 77c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Toulouse FC | 74c | 50.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Toulouse FC | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Toulouse FC | 61c | 47.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Racing Club de Lens | 45c | 43.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Toulouse FC | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Toulouse FC | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Toulouse FC | 64c | 31.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 29.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…8091backed Racing Club de Lens | 39c | 26.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Toulouse FC | 63c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Toulouse FC | 63c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Toulouse FC | 60c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Toulouse FC | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Toulouse FC | 75c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.