Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4139c9393c37b373f3ddab839a91239b0336868de2a6362ac0fd6c08a5ea86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 1,718$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 973.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 47c | 928.88$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.07 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 47c | 873.81$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.69 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 631.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 80c | 369.17$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 53c | 330.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 51c | 279.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Yes | 53c | 273.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Yes | 52c | 267.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 53c | 266.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 45c | 189.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 55c | 174.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 134.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed No | 48c | 126.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 48c | 94.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 46c | 46.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 52c | 34.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 54c | 22.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.