Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986a07878064d36ff91c328dd85e55ca12d109419b71855799bbe695f0c28d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 8c | 12,922$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 11,742$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 60c | 6,615$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.65 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 58c | 5,770$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 4,799$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.66 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 3,326$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.36 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Under | 43c | 1,349$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 9c | 1,196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 59c | 1,022$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…88a4backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 5c | 905.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 705.89$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 42c | 673.71$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 41c | 641$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 59c | 619.36$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Under | 13c | 612.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 562.87$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 42c | 521.52$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 59c | 494.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 42c | 479.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 38c | 388.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 22c | 363.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 350.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 343.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 14c | 343.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed Under | 7c | 275.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 59c | 228.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 197.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 41c | 193.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 185.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 58c | 121.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 12c | 120.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 102.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 99.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 58c | 98.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Over | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 58c | 78.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 71c | 78.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -68%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 59c | 65.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 54.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 41c | 39.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 58c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 56c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 25.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Over | 58c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.