TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4947…d93abacked Under0c19,429$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under0c13,881$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c6,361$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c2,934$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c2,700$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.963964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c1,721$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.7433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over58c1,678$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0214340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Over54c1,589$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c1,466$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.155356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over40c1,204$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.72045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over60c1,186$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over70c1,059$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.624266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c929.4$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over40c711.31$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.162944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c610.73$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.824052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over50c599.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over71c595.46$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.683141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over71c505.98$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c499.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over19c489.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over35c481.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over35c480.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.333138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c467.59$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under49c437.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.233540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over43c430$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over66c420.15$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over71c405.26$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.537755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over18c395.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.934245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c389.25$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c385.61$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over55c368.76$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.051855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.363234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under52c346.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c313.68$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.239558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c310.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0912448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a35…f88bbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under12c299.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c267.3$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.384266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under42c256.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over57c228.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.173360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over64c214.03$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+535.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under40c195.35$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x044e…28d3backed Under52c192.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-69.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c191.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under29c184.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under62c157.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.732835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over53c147.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Under68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c139.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0314544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Over24c133.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under43c121.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over59c114.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.393262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c112.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.256936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over55c111.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.372138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over65c110.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.076762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over35c109.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over49c106.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.672254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under10c102.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c100.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.288654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…d24abacked Over19c97.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over17c92.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over77c87.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over40c85.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.155662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c84.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.616360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over42c69.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.056330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over64c68.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over35c61.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.988056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under62c61.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.754949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under30c57.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-78.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over33c57.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.461060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed Under62c55.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0829…77bcbacked Under58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over73c49.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.473100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under59c48.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.933951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c46.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.517869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.283444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under35c44.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.859058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over29c44.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.77953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over50c43.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over73c37.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.197044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Under44c37.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over47c36.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.273046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c35.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7218847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Over42c28.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under39c28.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Over60c26.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under60c23.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Under70c21.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.931181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+65.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over57c19.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under69c19.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.543644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Under56c19.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7180%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.