TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18c7…7613

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.43
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.34
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.86
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.48
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.06
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.66
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.19
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.87
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.01
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.62
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$43.05
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+130.9%+$19.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+117.9%+$23.59
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Everton win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$132.03
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Browns vs. Eagles backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$64.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.33
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.41
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$39.17
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.54
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.1
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.31
Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Como win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.26
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.85
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$11.87
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$40.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$55.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$59.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.