NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a5d8b5b4749825abbeb40b40b6930fdd84f42e3c6653017e880469c1659541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Flames, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…eb94backed Flames | 0c | 106,580$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flames | 39c | 41,432$16,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,092.89 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 40c | 34,425$13,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770.17 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flames | 6c | 26,465$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.68 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 25,133$15,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 22,864$14,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,844.14 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 14,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Flames | 39c | 11,000$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 10,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 36c | 8,995$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.15 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Flames | 37c | 7,902$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.58 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 6,368$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.75 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 5,792$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.25 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,226$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.51 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 5,190$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.16 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 40c | 4,982$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flames | 51c | 4,779$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.45 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 47c | 4,581$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.18 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 4,082$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.61 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 50c | 3,844$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,562$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flames | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.96 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,261$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.56 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 36c | 3,098$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Flames | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,789$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,625$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.75 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,250$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,091$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.24 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,933$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,828$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.06 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,771$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flames | 36c | 1,559$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.19 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 48c | 1,494$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.3 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,452$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,435$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.76 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,387$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.39 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 37c | 1,379$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.18 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 1c | 1,367$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,081$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…3546backed Flames | 37c | 1,034$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.66 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.01 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Flames | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Flames | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 968$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 39c | 935.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 827.33$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 36c | 826$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 821.49$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.42 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 821.11$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 51c | 797$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Flames | 60c | 796.99$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…b06cbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…1ce7backed Flames | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…25f6backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 789$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 33c | 764.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Flames | 37c | 729.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flames | 40c | 710.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flames | 39c | 699.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 39c | 691.56$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flames | 39c | 674.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.86 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 671.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Flames | 37c | 670$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 39c | 650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 643.49$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 599.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 50c | 559.93$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 544.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1595…25e7backed Flames | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 499.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…6032backed Flames | 42c | 473.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5082backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 473.33$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 40c | 467$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Flames vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.