TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes39c29,134$11,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,362.3574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…f25fbacked Yes42c5,969$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed No60c2,697$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.853959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c2,478$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes40c2,450$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9805538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No62c2,420$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No60c2,090$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.162326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes42c2,000$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.4311137.8%42 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes40c1,968$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.44341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No61c1,631$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.058359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7433…5930backed No59c1,550$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+184.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be5…da76backed Yes43c1,550$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes40c1,490$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5962236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…3f7cbacked No60c1,423$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a6…510dbacked Yes42c1,423$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…e835backed Yes42c1,418$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…b7febacked No60c1,418$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb630…eeb0backed Yes42c1,417$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c33…1b14backed No60c1,417$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No59c1,407$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.038240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No72c1,396$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.836473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes40c1,361$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.26850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes39c1,284$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed No61c1,113$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No70c894.99$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.393259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No58c862.15$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4822749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes33c808.3$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.747138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…995bbacked Yes30c760$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No60c667.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.124351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c627.55$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.673,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No59c499.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…0540backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No60c452.44$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1837135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16427434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No58c390$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No60c323$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…62d5backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3678…d0a5backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No61c299.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.33844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes29c273.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.328538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No62c261.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.993868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Yes39c251.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No76c236.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.843756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes40c220.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8822551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No58c201.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.663953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No73c194.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No60c190.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3422634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes39c188.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes41c184.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked No60c184.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.771464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6710263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.912548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No58c147.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6221140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No70c144.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes28c140$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.214252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8d…45a9backed Yes35c139$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c133.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.881,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes29c130.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0324647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…7c7ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910130.7%31 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No62c88.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.596845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2135…71cdbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6513258.3%77 W · 55 L-0.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes40c77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes41c74.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22c6…f634backed Yes41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa644…7b95backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6639…afefbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed No72c56.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.891668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31df…10cabacked Yes42c50.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a2…feccbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7395…bacdbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…b289backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63e…c83abacked No61c45.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes41c41.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes42c38.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.336018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes42c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.