Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9754d05af6918fbbb3953f1cb9139b5c806253378e409e43cf84f7493477982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 36c | 11,069$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 7,447$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.23 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 3,897$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.08 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,024$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.08 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,992$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 1,880$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.18 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 35c | 1,614$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.68 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…0534backed No | 73c | 1,421$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…ac31backed Yes | 29c | 1,421$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 29c | 1,407$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 1,191$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,184$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 78c | 935.89$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 908.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked No | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 71c | 701.84$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 513$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 416.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 25c | 406.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 346.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 66c | 248$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 71c | 230$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 27c | 156.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 86.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 29c | 51.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 42.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden vs. Switzerland end in a draw?this page
- Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?No won
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.