TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Aces vs. Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Aces, Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaefe…1e4abacked Aces66c15,208$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Aces61c12,775$7,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Fever39c12,569$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,901.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Fever35c8,536$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.471361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Aces77c6,672$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.986637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Fever35c5,330$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.0860%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fever39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9723931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Fever34c4,000$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3551323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fever15c3,881$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.974438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Fever38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33013538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Fever34c2,700$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9151225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Fever34c2,700$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9152437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Aces77c2,400$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Fever42c2,367$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Fever1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Aces63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.332755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever37c1,879$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.817162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fever39c1,783$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.821421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Aces61c1,767$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Fever35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5256640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Aces62c1,475$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Fever34c1,350$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces63c1,243$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.247855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Aces58c1,183$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5719142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Fever37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Fever14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Fever36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Aces60c930.55$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.227753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fever35c918.66$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.224835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Aces61c857.38$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Aces72c801.29$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces60c755.59$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever38c651.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.77851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Fever5c650$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Aces60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Fever37c499.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9910337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces64c405$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.657542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Aces74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10413044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Fever34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Aces62c398.39$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fever26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Fever40c352.5$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fever22c347.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.161,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Aces61c327.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b85…f739backed Aces62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Aces61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Aces75c293.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Fever38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever40c250.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c8…97b8backed Aces75c222.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Aces74c222.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.584042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fever38c217.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.844858.3%28 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Fever10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Fever35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Aces63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fever37c189.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Fever27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Fever18c184.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3523234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fever35c182$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.75042%21 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Aces62c177.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.634358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Fever54c161.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked Aces64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Aces64c143.05$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.721154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever37c141.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.595048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Fever42c137.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Aces62c135.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3491…9f33backed Fever38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Aces61c128.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9017…9173backed Fever37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fever35c112.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.439055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Fever39c107.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+50.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Fever38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Fever37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Aces60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Fever34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df6…4992backed Aces62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Fever32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Aces63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Fever39c94.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.868953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Aces62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3575…8af2backed Aces63c84.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.135100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+128.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Aces57c82.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Aces61c81.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aces73c75.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.23528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Aces71c69.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Fever39c64.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Fever34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Fever35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.314136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Fever32c55.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed Fever26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0e…b61cbacked Aces52c50.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Fever40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdea…e0edbacked Fever39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…9e97backed Aces63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…5a19backed Aces63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fever35c45.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.795844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0b…95b7backed Fever27c45.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+718.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Aces53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.