NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d9de962e0a53a2276c8ac5b192fd97e1d2ec74a386d2d7022b83ae86464489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Commanders, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,507,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,751,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,507,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Commanders | 47c | 857,699$405,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405,956.38 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 57c | 279,832$158,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,611.87 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys | 56c | 221,788$124,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,577.31 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 200,587$106,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,275.67 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cowboys | 52c | 145,774$75,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,971.52 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cowboys | 53c | 100,013$53,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,006.13 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Commanders | 47c | 76,663$36,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,031.56 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 53c | 75,963$40,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,703.66 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Cowboys | 67c | 70,000$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Commanders | 32c | 56,326$17,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,941.34 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Cowboys | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…d642backed Commanders | 20c | 47,475$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders | 31c | 44,625$13,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,925.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Commanders | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,799.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 48c | 35,831$17,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,612.1 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cowboys | 69c | 33,616$23,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,555.84 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Commanders | 47c | 32,613$15,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,360.74 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Commanders | 47c | 31,655$14,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,912.87 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 13c | 30,079$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.7 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Cowboys | 67c | 27,180$18,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,092.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cowboys | 52c | 27,018$14,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,968.57 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 26,989$14,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,684.91 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Cowboys | 52c | 23,612$12,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.79 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Commanders | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 53c | 16,600$8,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cowboys | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Commanders | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cowboys | 59c | 14,158$8,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.85 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Cowboys | 80c | 14,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cowboys | 53c | 12,005$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,663.31 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Commanders | 39c | 11,841$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.43 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Cowboys | 75c | 11,228$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cowboys | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.28 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cowboys | 74c | 10,228$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.49 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Commanders | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Commanders | 0c | 9,778$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Cowboys | 53c | 9,606$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Commanders | 47c | 9,447$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.45 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders | 50c | 9,265$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.12 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Cowboys | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Cowboys | 74c | 8,940$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Commanders | 48c | 8,770$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.91 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Commanders | 0c | 8,707$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Commanders | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Cowboys | 53c | 8,340$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Commanders | 48c | 8,331$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 24c | 8,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Cowboys | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.98 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Commanders | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Commanders | 47c | 6,318$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Commanders | 46c | 6,275$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cowboys | 57c | 6,016$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.86 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Commanders | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.97 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cowboys | 53c | 5,855$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.72 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cowboys | 50c | 5,614$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.44 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Commanders | 46c | 5,193$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.22 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Cowboys | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Commanders | 30c | 4,794$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Commanders | 1c | 4,619$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cowboys | 54c | 4,539$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Commanders | 22c | 4,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Cowboys | 51c | 4,451$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.91 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Commanders | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Commanders | 46c | 3,658$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.59 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Commanders | 1c | 3,350$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Commanders | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.77 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Cowboys | 53c | 3,184$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Commanders | 48c | 3,055$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…96cfbacked Commanders | 38c | 2,965$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Cowboys | 54c | 2,963$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.96 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,930$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.05 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Commanders | 8c | 2,751$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,744$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cowboys | 73c | 2,654$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Commanders | 19c | 2,647$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Commanders | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Commanders | 47c | 2,600$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Commanders | 54c | 2,528$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.01 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Commanders | 45c | 2,503$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.13 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Commanders | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cowboys | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cowboys | 56c | 2,488$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.73 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys | 52c | 2,183$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.98 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Commanders | 48c | 2,100$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Cowboys | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cowboys | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys | 60c | 2,015$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.27 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…dc52backed Cowboys | 53c | 1,914$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Commanders | 1c | 1,888$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed Commanders | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Cowboys | 53c | 1,871$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…668bbacked Cowboys | 59c | 1,768$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Commanders | 55c | 1,767$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Cowboysthis page
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Commanders (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.