NFL · resolved market
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547e1606fb497c6ad3abb927dafeee46681b8889977844edd6b72be54cb90d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Commanders, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab7…7655backed Commanders | 44c | 6,994$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…03bebacked Commanders | 44c | 2,803$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…bfcbbacked Commanders | 44c | 2,725$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…4534backed Commanders | 44c | 2,080$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf59…54c3backed Commanders | 44c | 1,648$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…43ffbacked Commanders | 44c | 1,637$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…3e1bbacked Commanders | 44c | 1,631$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ab33backed Commanders | 44c | 1,474$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…c7f5backed Commanders | 44c | 1,470$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…155fbacked Cowboys | 56c | 1,462$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…b741backed Commanders | 44c | 1,349$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…d21dbacked Commanders | 44c | 1,301$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…c932backed Commanders | 44c | 1,282$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…417dbacked Cowboys | 56c | 1,276$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…7949backed Commanders | 44c | 1,156$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…3cb5backed Commanders | 44c | 1,129$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…f3b6backed Cowboys | 56c | 1,114$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…42f7backed Commanders | 44c | 1,094$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…b9f7backed Cowboys | 56c | 1,083$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…7d5abacked Commanders | 44c | 1,052$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…25d4backed Commanders | 44c | 1,031$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…fc5cbacked Cowboys | 56c | 973$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…d2aabacked Commanders | 44c | 969$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…f244backed Commanders | 44c | 958$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…8d6dbacked Cowboys | 56c | 956$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…67b8backed Commanders | 44c | 935$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebe…f45ebacked Commanders | 44c | 929$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…93a1backed Commanders | 44c | 919$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…f10dbacked Commanders | 44c | 897$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…25cbbacked Commanders | 44c | 892$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…6fa0backed Commanders | 44c | 888$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…654ebacked Commanders | 44c | 885$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…f79bbacked Commanders | 44c | 863$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…d782backed Commanders | 44c | 834$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…42d7backed Commanders | 44c | 810$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…e91bbacked Cowboys | 56c | 808$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…95d5backed Commanders | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3f2dbacked Cowboys | 56c | 778$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…fbcdbacked Cowboys | 56c | 771$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…fdb3backed Commanders | 44c | 760$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…42bdbacked Commanders | 44c | 753$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…2841backed Cowboys | 56c | 743$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…2e3ebacked Commanders | 44c | 707$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…5f32backed Commanders | 44c | 693$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…2153backed Commanders | 44c | 667$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…4ddabacked Cowboys | 56c | 664$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…5eabbacked Cowboys | 56c | 646$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…1ce3backed Commanders | 44c | 646$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…a943backed Commanders | 44c | 646$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9261backed Commanders | 44c | 642$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…4631backed Commanders | 44c | 636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…d7babacked Cowboys | 56c | 634$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…b0c8backed Cowboys | 56c | 628$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…867abacked Cowboys | 56c | 619$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…c266backed Cowboys | 56c | 614$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…0759backed Commanders | 44c | 611$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…daa9backed Cowboys | 56c | 608$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…022dbacked Commanders | 44c | 599$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…6da1backed Commanders | 44c | 587$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…554ebacked Cowboys | 56c | 582$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…fde7backed Cowboys | 56c | 563$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf4ebacked Commanders | 44c | 563$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…854fbacked Cowboys | 56c | 557$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…7810backed Commanders | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…c2dabacked Commanders | 44c | 551$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…05babacked Cowboys | 56c | 549$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…961cbacked Cowboys | 56c | 542$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8754…dc56backed Commanders | 44c | 532$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…19c6backed Commanders | 44c | 528$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys | 55c | 528$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…2616backed Cowboys | 56c | 527$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79b…1911backed Commanders | 44c | 521$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…c9fbbacked Commanders | 44c | 515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…49c6backed Commanders | 44c | 503$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…a68ebacked Cowboys | 56c | 503$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…2d8bbacked Cowboys | 56c | 501$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…f011backed Cowboys | 56c | 495$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…1907backed Cowboys | 56c | 489$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…e7dcbacked Cowboys | 56c | 488$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…68eebacked Cowboys | 56c | 482$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…93a9backed Commanders | 44c | 481$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…066dbacked Commanders | 44c | 459$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…4992backed Commanders | 44c | 457$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…643cbacked Cowboys | 56c | 456$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d946backed Cowboys | 56c | 453$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…7617backed Cowboys | 56c | 439$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d2…b969backed Cowboys | 56c | 432$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…fce9backed Commanders | 44c | 429$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…9d9cbacked Commanders | 44c | 428$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…d7cbbacked Commanders | 44c | 424$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…7e62backed Cowboys | 56c | 405$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…3816backed Commanders | 44c | 404$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…ec35backed Commanders | 44c | 403$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…9257backed Commanders | 44c | 399$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…e033backed Cowboys | 56c | 391$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…5b4bbacked Cowboys | 56c | 387$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…f3a3backed Cowboys | 56c | 382$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ce26backed Cowboys | 56c | 381$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…2819backed Commanders | 44c | 380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…047bbacked Commanders | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)this page
- Commanders vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.