NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x489dddf744fae47828aefb8e1d8f12db86c47bfa28a31da7326b759d1d371265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab7…7655backed Under | 45c | 30,014$13,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,506.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 55c | 18,852$10,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,483.25 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 45c | 17,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…9821backed Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…eeb9backed Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 47c | 5,054$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.14 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…9401backed Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…41e9backed Over | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 3,350$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.22 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 2,380$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.23 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 55c | 2,313$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.34 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…4534backed Over | 55c | 2,117$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…f3b6backed Under | 45c | 1,876$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…e12ebacked Under | 45c | 1,781$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…c932backed Under | 45c | 1,612$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…155fbacked Under | 45c | 1,595$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…03bebacked Under | 45c | 1,562$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…51edbacked Over | 55c | 1,406$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…c7f5backed Over | 55c | 1,313$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…43ffbacked Under | 45c | 1,308$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…bfcbbacked Under | 45c | 1,286$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ab33backed Over | 55c | 1,179$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 1,117$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…d21dbacked Over | 55c | 1,062$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…25d4backed Over | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…93a1backed Under | 45c | 1,003$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…974bbacked Under | 45c | 978$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…67b8backed Under | 45c | 951$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…b741backed Under | 45c | 898$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…52dbbacked Over | 55c | 879$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…8d6dbacked Over | 55c | 871$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…c266backed Under | 45c | 869$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…6fa0backed Under | 45c | 860$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…0759backed Under | 45c | 843$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…d2aabacked Over | 55c | 775$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 46c | 764.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…d7babacked Under | 45c | 751$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Over | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…2841backed Over | 55c | 749$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…3e1bbacked Under | 45c | 713$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf59…54c3backed Under | 45c | 703$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…42bdbacked Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…daa9backed Over | 55c | 690$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…2d8bbacked Over | 55c | 677$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…fbcdbacked Over | 55c | 662$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…d782backed Under | 45c | 661$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…a943backed Over | 55c | 651$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…c2dabacked Over | 55c | 628$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…f79bbacked Under | 45c | 625$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…fc5cbacked Over | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…2153backed Over | 55c | 608$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…022dbacked Under | 45c | 602$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…fdb3backed Over | 55c | 601$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…42d7backed Under | 45c | 597$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5029backed Over | 55c | 597$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…f10dbacked Over | 55c | 587$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3f2dbacked Over | 55c | 580$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…f244backed Under | 45c | 576$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…b9f7backed Under | 45c | 566$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…7d5abacked Over | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…961cbacked Under | 45c | 546$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9261backed Over | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d946backed Over | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…fde7backed Over | 55c | 519$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…f4f0backed Over | 55c | 518$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…7810backed Over | 55c | 516$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…7e62backed Over | 55c | 513$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…a68ebacked Over | 55c | 507$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…7949backed Under | 45c | 498$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…654ebacked Over | 55c | 487$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ce26backed Under | 45c | 478$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…1907backed Under | 45c | 473$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…9257backed Under | 45c | 467$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…554ebacked Over | 55c | 451$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…42f7backed Over | 55c | 446$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…3cb5backed Over | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…e7dcbacked Over | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…f3a3backed Over | 55c | 434$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…95d5backed Under | 45c | 428$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebe…f45ebacked Over | 55c | 428$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…2616backed Over | 55c | 426$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…f997backed Under | 45c | 425$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…4631backed Under | 45c | 423$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2ed6backed Under | 45c | 417$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf4ebacked Over | 55c | 411$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…36d6backed Over | 55c | 409$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…67edbacked Over | 55c | 402$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…c9fbbacked Over | 55c | 395$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…25cbbacked Over | 55c | 389$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…55babacked Over | 55c | 380$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…68eebacked Under | 45c | 379$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…5eabbacked Under | 45c | 371$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…2fb3backed Under | 45c | 368$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…95efbacked Under | 45c | 368$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…5f32backed Over | 55c | 366$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…2e3ebacked Under | 45c | 358$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…d765backed Under | 45c | 356$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 353$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…d73dbacked Under | 45c | 341$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…cbcbbacked Under | 45c | 341$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5this page
- Commanders vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Commanders (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.