Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8706796bf2c5c0c6d0a08aa4909a36bb8ed6779ce7b3df322995c8a679258efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 68c | 3,210$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 2,329$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 32c | 1,652$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 1,291$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.11 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 1,037$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 23c | 953.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 870.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 767.58$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 40c | 729$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 35c | 582.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 497.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 71c | 444.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 20c | 418.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 381.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 25c | 369.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 332.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 78c | 266.44$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 218.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 191.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 76c | 187.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 41c | 187.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 74c | 187.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 181$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 147.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 28c | 140.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…d888backed Over | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 123.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 57c | 113.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 111.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 110.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 110.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 24c | 105.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 99.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 36c | 99.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 94.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 90.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Under | 64c | 61.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 65c | 60.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…7613backed Under | 80c | 58.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…9c76backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 24c | 42.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…509fbacked Over | 27c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 40.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 39c | 38.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Over | 34c | 36.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 35.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 74c | 34.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 31.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 73c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 37c | 28.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 27.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 61c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…c115backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 74c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Under | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.