Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06202d500138db081ecc2c9830d1acd7e61ad34de4ad8157af8fb0e9daa9688c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof SC Freiburg, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SC Freiburg | 26c | 2,264$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.27 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Freiburg | 17c | 2,157$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.49 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 1,549$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked SC Freiburg | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked SC Freiburg | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked SC Freiburg | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.98 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 1,087$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked SC Freiburg | 17c | 1,010$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…8548backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked SC Freiburg | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…3ff8backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…2650backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 999.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed SC Freiburg | 18c | 973.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 634.36$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 628.76$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 628.76$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 8c | 591.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 583.82$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.26 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 582.61$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SC Freiburg | 21c | 459.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 6c | 418$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg | 49c | 332.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…8761backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 239.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed RC Celta de Vigo | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed SC Freiburg | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked SC Freiburg | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SC Freiburg | 16c | 180$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed SC Freiburg | 20c | 179.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked SC Freiburg | 16c | 166.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 158.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed SC Freiburg | 74c | 143.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed SC Freiburg | 26c | 138.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked SC Freiburg | 17c | 131.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…bd22backed RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 130.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed SC Freiburg | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SC Freiburg | 16c | 107.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 93.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 63c | 89.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 87.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed SC Freiburg | 18c | 68.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 68.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SC Freiburg | 17c | 60.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed SC Freiburg | 20c | 54.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 54.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 38.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SC Freiburg | 69c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked SC Freiburg | 71c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 12.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.