Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c632a492a77d48b014f33a42689b9ab15da466fb3121333356d41c26f9a276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 10,941$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 71c | 6,763$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 5,575$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.39 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 4,352$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.51 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Over | 72c | 2,066$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 2,051$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.91 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,198$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.47 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 68c | 1,154$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 71c | 834.93$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 824.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Over | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 70c | 402.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 29c | 371.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Over | 71c | 345.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 343.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 70c | 274.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 270.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 30c | 266.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 260.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 248.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 207.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 71c | 200.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 199.29$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 30c | 195.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 28c | 195.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 71c | 180.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 71c | 164.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 148.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 69c | 143.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 70c | 140.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 136.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 29c | 130.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 28c | 114.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 10c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 112.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 29c | 95.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over | 70c | 84.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 70c | 68.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 27c | 57.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 30c | 57.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 30c | 53.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 29c | 45.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 29c | 40.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 69c | 35.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 71c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 69c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 70c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 71c | 22.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…301fbacked Over | 68c | 20.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 71c | 18.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.