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Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under36c19,405$6,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,925.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c18,298$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,155.4512832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under55c10,575$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over44c6,343$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.965448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over78c6,070$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.751225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under56c5,696$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.513953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f62…570cbacked Under55c5,424$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,736$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.473,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over44c3,944$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.158124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c3,266$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.411,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over45c3,223$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.833360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c2,953$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.5184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over45c2,340$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.574141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under23c2,217$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over45c2,149$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+78.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1208946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c1,964$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.3692050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Over45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over62c1,588$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.582850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over66c1,356$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over66c1,351$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9514552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under57c1,324$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.024461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over45c1,211$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.971030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under24c1,157$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7577141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61616242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over63c1,072$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.468254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c1,050$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.571,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Under56c1,020$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over45c1,010$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+134.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c942.2$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.652,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under56c804.86$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.022744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under56c791.17$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.393458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over61c716.86$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over63c706.07$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over40c702.76$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c656.78$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over71c656$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8112868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Under56c640.21$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over66c633.21$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2175265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over66c631$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under56c580.98$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.355740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over45c580.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.112665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under10c579.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under33c575.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.067553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c433.4$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8638047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over45c366.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.722245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.842846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c338.22$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2312934.9%45 W · 84 L-20.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over61c313.49$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0210956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16866250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Under44c298.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c284.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.870639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over77c250.42$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c246.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.718165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over42c241.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.956235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c226.74$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9769548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc8…251abacked Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Over45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under58c210.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.932944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Over60c206.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0200…21f2backed Over43c202.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over45c197.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.736944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over67c190.45$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over51c189.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over42c179.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3919546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under55c179.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.573345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c173.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0617958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.492254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.429056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over54c169.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over68c165.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under61c160.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.647067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under13c159.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c157.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.917855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over47c157.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c155.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.062,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c151.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under14c148.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1279732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under57c146.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.299037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c145.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2278544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over44c131.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c127.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8314767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Under56c113.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over44c111.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c110.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.094151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under55c107.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.355850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.795040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.