TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes76c10,967$8,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.444772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes77c10,000$7,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c9,400$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3504030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No18c9,196$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No20c8,841$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.933265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No22c8,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No19c6,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No27c4,326$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.196045%27 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No31c2,028$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No19c1,891$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.923050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed Yes69c1,088$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No20c1,084$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5411355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No20c1,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c932.57$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.431,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No23c917.59$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No21c892.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.541850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes79c772.81$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb594…caeebacked No22c649.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.954628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes79c521.89$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.63732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes77c507.6$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.62254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes78c461.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes69c457.17$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes80c412.05$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a92…a9f5backed Yes80c403.46$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes78c323.07$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.925156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No23c315.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes79c285.82$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.021643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No22c263.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.422864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes76c262.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09aa…1d98backed Yes80c250.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No24c247.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes77c207.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes78c205.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.133053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4535…d7a1backed Yes77c201.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de3…8383backed Yes77c190.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No19c189.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5112738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes73c179.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes80c179$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes79c170$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb859…23ebbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes78c134.3$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked No31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.585042%21 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4174…9008backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4891…0165backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes80c125.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No32c125.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes79c109.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.921384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes78c98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No24c97.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed No22c94.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Yes77c62.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes79c60.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…3561backed Yes79c58.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes77c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.199156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdadb…7d2dbacked Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+86.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…0fb8backed Yes77c48.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf375…a63ebacked Yes79c45.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a3…c192backed Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c35…c311backed Yes79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32c5…9350backed Yes79c35.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Yes74c33.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bef…0526backed Yes73c30.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Yes66c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f9…cac9backed Yes78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26d…53ccbacked Yes69c20.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa48…5237backed Yes79c20.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…debabacked Yes78c19.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…ab47backed Yes78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c18.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…4c25backed Yes77c18.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b0…f2afbacked Yes78c17.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbc…3620backed Yes77c16.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e7…44e1backed Yes79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.