TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a92…a9f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.49
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.67
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$40.68
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$19.04
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$186.43
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+42%+$174.66
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.86
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+103%+$197.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.