Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f3e5115b2742d18f73a5984bf9d8fd930c9cec8c2343c2c1c47f299b54f651

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $169,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,454 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No	30c	103,601$31,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,080.38	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes	70c	100,714$70,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,381.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	14c	17,726$2,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.3	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Yes	70c	16,040$11,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,812.02	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No	31c	12,500$3,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,874.99	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	31c	4,700$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	66c	2,500$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.87	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	71c	1,774$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No	30c	1,600$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.97	118	32.2%38 W · 80 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes	70c	1,430$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	62c	1,300$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	31c	1,241$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.5	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No	38c	1,054$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.24	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No	31c	967.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yes	70c	943.84$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes	63c	699.33$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.28	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes	70c	690.86$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.26	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes	70c	447.89$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.85	117	72.6%85 W · 32 L	+28.2wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	68c	447.13$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.08	333	57.4%191 W · 142 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No	31c	403.71$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.39	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	31c	399.98$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No	15c	386.52$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes	70c	357.14$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.14	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes	66c	325.56$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.69	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	32c	290$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	267	44.6%119 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes	70c	270.94$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.39per pick	67cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No	34c	218$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes	70c	214.29$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	71c	211.27$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.27	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-6.3wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes	67c	165.31$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes	70c	160.96$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.29	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x36bb…3345backed Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	65cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	72cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf783…9037backed Yes	70c	130$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed No	30c	124.21$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes	70c	114.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	10c	109.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	39cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	30c	101.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	175	43.4%76 W · 99 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	30c	99.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes	66c	80.64$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes	70c	78.57$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes	70c	74.63$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	66cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x894c…246abacked Yes	68c	72.06$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd922…310fbacked Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	69c	57.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Yes	63c	51.36$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No	35c	50.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	31c	49.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bea…1b86backed No	31c	49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	70c	48.57$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	45cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Yes	60c	34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3963…6241backed Yes	69c	31.28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes	68c	30.88$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe98…8ec1backed Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	154	50%77 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae0…c81abacked Yes	69c	29.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…8f8abacked Yes	69c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a92…a9f5backed Yes	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes	70c	28.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.56	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9eb…8be1backed Yes	69c	28.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes	66c	25.87$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes	68c	22.06$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.06	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	65cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Yes	62c	22.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.38	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06b…3ac6backed Yes	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…3561backed Yes	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…8ff0backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00ec…1922backed Yes	70c	18.01$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d29abacked Yes	64c	17.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	68c	15.94$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.17	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…9809backed Yes	70c	15.51$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?this page
Will Juventus vs. Parma end in a draw?No won
Will Parma win on 2025-08-24?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event