TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Yes52c60,001$31,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,195.927060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes53c49,824$26,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,284.6912848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No48c30,720$14,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,974.47742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No47c28,833$13,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,281.753522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No48c20,009$9,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,504.4417853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No47c19,405$9,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,268.7436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8003145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes23c13,603$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.962035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes56c11,877$6,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,603.932835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No48c9,367$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.949857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No46c6,725$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.514952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No75c6,416$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes53c5,367$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.588243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.331030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9414953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes47c4,960$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.765360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No57c4,867$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08038343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes52c4,274$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.663336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes52c4,264$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No49c4,064$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.482060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No48c3,887$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.48241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No49c3,319$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.651050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes55c3,240$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.777844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No49c3,215$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes51c3,160$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.5512921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No46c2,718$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.3938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0281…34e7backed Yes52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed No49c2,519$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2851968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3751450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes43c2,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes52c2,252$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.5111743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No49c2,163$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2710660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c2,100$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09122147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes7c2,020$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3917048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9819453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes53c1,898$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes54c1,836$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No63c1,553$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c1,292$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.271,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No48c1,046$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8316853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No69c1,040$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.54645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes55c1,007$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.896028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No47c898.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes52c895.25$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.53742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c886.36$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes5c785.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.485529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes52c763.54$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.042951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Yes53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No49c734.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.222060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No48c707.22$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.071668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes39c692.22$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.92850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes33c669.55$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.951513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No49c646.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.144445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No48c630.77$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3288653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes52c610.87$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.656552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Yes51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.993225%8 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No45c594.21$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.276955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No47c578.48$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.591643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes19c549.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c506.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes51c490.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes55c481$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.558345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No48c463.61$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No48c429.61$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.419755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No47c424.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes41c421.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.987742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes53c418.87$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes30c404.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No45c400.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes55c400$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.292231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No48c399.97$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.983537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes37c395.64$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1466154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c385.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf011…cb68backed Yes52c375.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes54c373.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes19c347.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.733625%9 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed Yes9c341$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+47%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No49c334.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.734768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No45c320.11$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No46c316.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9805…bbaabacked Yes52c308.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15619344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564060%24 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.