Champions League · resolved market
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5f76ecfc35eaf1ca40be50331a44fd8458ef69d2f99781daf995025c3375a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 13,268$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.43 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed No | 78c | 12,896$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 4c | 11,356$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 40c | 10,723$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.02 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 22c | 10,626$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,288.14 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 14c | 9,315$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 7,670$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.29 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 21c | 4,875$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 76c | 4,724$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.66 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 37c | 4,229$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.43 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,694$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.01 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 79c | 1,993$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 1,935$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.28 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 25c | 1,922$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.53 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 23c | 940.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 78c | 861.88$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.65 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 77c | 777$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.29 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 77c | 742.86$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 575$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 67c | 537$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 36c | 535.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 73c | 518$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 23c | 440$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 395$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 374$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed No | 56c | 364.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 77c | 300$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 288.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 77c | 258.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 76c | 257.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d054backed Yes | 77c | 189.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…3548backed No | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 77c | 165.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…a119backed No | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 120.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Yes | 77c | 109.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed No | 77c | 101$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 79c | 100.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +175%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…5f75backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 21c | 78.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 50.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…3f8abacked Yes | 55c | 21.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.