Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5db367809c7009dfb0a1153c8dc6054b3ab2fcc8910ce0427cf7c15fb8a84d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 55,000$33,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 39c | 41,648$16,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,212.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 41,427$18,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,983.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 56c | 12,704$7,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,176.69 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 10,740$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.22 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 54c | 9,999$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 38c | 9,441$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.58 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 57c | 6,751$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 43c | 5,608$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.65 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 4,828$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.9 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…a42cbacked Yes | 58c | 3,517$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 3,139$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 2,999$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.72 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 41c | 2,886$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.27 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 56c | 2,812$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,678$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 58c | 2,598$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 2,404$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.83 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 1,172$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,117$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.09 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 15c | 1,058$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 55c | 1,039$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 57c | 914.04$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes | 61c | 891.46$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 57c | 880.7$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 44c | 825$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 821.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 61c | 820.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.24 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 56c | 665.91$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 62c | 632.71$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 572.51$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 34c | 567.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 565.86$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 43c | 562.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…18e8backed Yes | 42c | 547.61$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…9266backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 57c | 523.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 57c | 512.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 57c | 500.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 55c | 484$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 55c | 453$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 57c | 452.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.63 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 445.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…0a62backed Yes | 57c | 436.33$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 57c | 404.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 43c | 399.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 54c | 366.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 58c | 362.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 350$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 34c | 342.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 60c | 334.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 57c | 320$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 56c | 316.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 312$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 302.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 56c | 265$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed No | 38c | 253.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 58c | 244.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 236.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…6d77backed Yes | 57c | 228.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…25f8backed No | 44c | 224$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 64c | 223.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…d2d8backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 203.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…3a06backed Yes | 57c | 199.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 49c | 190.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 40c | 182.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 60c | 178.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 15c | 176.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 57c | 176.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.