TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes77c25,410$19,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,638.61450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No28c13,017$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,379.668242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c11,586$7,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,034.761,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,899.9214346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes80c8,299$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,639.49875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No21c5,835$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,609.862040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No20c5,027$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0224551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No19c2,954$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.9521560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes79c2,698$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.0514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c2,646$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.681,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…9ad1backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c2,050$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No3c1,839$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c1,408$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.5435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed No10c1,372$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes42c1,092$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No20c1,078$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No20c1,007$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No20c1,000$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8056835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes79c950$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes54c926.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c883.8$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2110752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes51c752.08$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No5c732.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.3368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes80c717.01$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No19c699.47$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.57540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes80c621.73$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No20c599.66$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.723040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c576$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes79c570$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.39156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5753…0da7backed Yes80c500.79$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes56c427.12$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No18c374.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.264932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes79c358$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.823828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes40c350$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes53c321.74$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5662…574cbacked Yes41c273.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes31c259.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No20c242.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.385736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes30c201.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.385554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No21c199.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.47850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes79c189.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No20c179.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.813050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c65…e105backed Yes33c154.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c149.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3513016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c139.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Yes79c130$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes47c128.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No58c126.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b69…3c31backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a92…a9f5backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes52c109$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes80c107.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.963053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No52c106.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.219140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes77c103.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No59c99.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.166743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No48c98.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes79c94.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.833458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes37c91.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes79c90$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes59c76.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb489…8ab9backed Yes80c68.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes48c61.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59ca…6840backed Yes80c57.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.120%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No20c56.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb48…a0b8backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.