Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57c48ea08192107f7981b041ba115663b3d14935ea4315337a5e64351ddfa5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,512,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,684,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,512,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 44c | 772,785$340,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340,336.02 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 231,101$128,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,404.55 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 56c | 200,000$111,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,302.98 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 56c | 176,674$98,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,736.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 114,271$58,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,805.91 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 43c | 66,731$28,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,694.4 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 44c | 47,597$20,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,942.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 56c | 39,100$21,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,204 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 38,755$21,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,456.45 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 50c | 31,113$15,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,439.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 56c | 27,660$15,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,170.61 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 56c | 24,993$13,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,997.05 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yes | 55c | 22,217$12,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,915.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 53c | 20,626$10,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,881.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 44c | 20,079$8,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,735.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 47c | 19,123$8,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,895.12 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 15,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.94 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 70c | 13,224$9,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.02 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 45c | 13,019$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.67 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 44c | 12,935$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.31 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 46c | 12,440$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.71 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 47c | 12,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.95 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 44c | 7,100$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 7,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 57c | 6,722$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 6,650$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 44c | 5,782$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 5,664$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.53 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.97 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 45c | 4,888$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 56c | 4,553$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 44c | 4,085$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.22 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 44c | 3,683$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.73 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 57c | 3,289$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.05 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 65c | 2,833$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.02 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Yes | 57c | 2,631$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.05 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 56c | 2,448$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.28 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 56c | 2,425$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.88 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 2,340$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…22b6backed Yes | 56c | 2,022$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 44c | 1,979$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Yes | 60c | 1,971$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 45c | 1,967$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.02 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 12c | 1,939$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 57c | 1,916$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.78 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 56c | 1,783$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.53 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 43c | 1,760$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.77 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 47c | 1,701$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.47 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 57c | 1,681$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 57c | 1,630$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 55c | 1,557$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.52 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 1,484$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,449$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.51 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 44c | 1,427$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.97 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 55c | 1,365$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed No | 9c | 1,349$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,297$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.21 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,277$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 57c | 1,270$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 47c | 1,249$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Yes | 56c | 1,186$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 45c | 1,183$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 46c | 1,120$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 53c | 1,061$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 56c | 1,015$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 54c | 889.5$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes | 56c | 886.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 54c | 877.81$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 838.88$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.55 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 31c | 837.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 44c | 834.43$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.