TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c67,478$33,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,052.994,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes65c43,341$28,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,098.772365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No35c41,580$14,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,026.769028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c30,608$16,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,491.4827453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No65c29,201$19,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,137.294247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No34c28,139$9,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,571.912729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c22,016$9,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,423.5729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes34c21,488$7,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,306.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes53c13,163$6,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,939.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes66c11,773$7,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7701752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No34c11,722$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,736.319459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c11,560$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,598.559450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c9,297$6,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,023.6450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes64c8,213$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.368245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.987922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes64c7,838$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9984845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No38c6,034$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.7715750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes17c5,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c5,788$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.2620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c5,515$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.843,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c5,262$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.8125648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c3…99c4backed Yes62c4,984$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes66c4,526$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.91586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c4,500$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.9124145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No57c4,433$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.0330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes65c3,853$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes46c3,651$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.8429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes61c3,556$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.47762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No35c3,543$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.864348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes64c3,181$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.0910956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes34c3,000$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.452924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.84560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes64c2,994$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.91010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-79.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No35c2,991$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.724845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes57c2,815$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.0626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes64c2,502$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes65c2,308$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes64c2,266$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes63c2,247$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.611894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes64c2,081$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.614233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes62c1,999$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No35c1,813$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes63c1,800$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c3…3242backed Yes46c1,785$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…52edbacked Yes25c1,771$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No35c1,697$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.843060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes55c1,625$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes32c1,235$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes17c1,177$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.035927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes22c1,150$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1bf…aba5backed Yes28c1,125$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes52c1,111$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf920…4d4ebacked Yes64c1,081$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c56cbacked Yes65c1,079$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes63c1,032$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c1,028$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.6427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No36c1,004$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.622254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes19c1,000$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.573246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes66c918.18$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes65c910.78$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.495863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes54c899.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.793262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No34c899.96$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde9…20f1backed No32c899.87$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes45c863.45$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903020%6 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes31c858.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.099052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes65c856.32$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.9712551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a9…661bbacked Yes34c847.06$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.35875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes45c823.53$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.592454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65a2…ea25backed No69c808.36$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes65c768.22$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.342556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No36c765.87$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8712757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No37c757.48$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4412821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes66c749.72$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.821560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c740$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes21c714.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b73…5763backed Yes38c688.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes59c681.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes62c653.23$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes31c641.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4b…2746backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed No37c619.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c603.67$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No35c600.21$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1314621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e1…20c6backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.051625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes34c589.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No35c559.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes64c548.4$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed No40c532.46$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.461662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e69…ff0abacked Yes66c522.73$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes20c497.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.