TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed No40c248,162$99,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,191.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes60c130,233$78,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,093.372250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c54,071$31,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,659.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes15c8,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes60c6,843$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.336544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes15c6,521$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.262729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No54c4,719$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.944247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c4,050$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.9315516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes16c3,964$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.415750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes16c2,937$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.2212551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No24c2,524$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.8727453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No41c2,463$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes60c2,001$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.9325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No49c1,999$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.514461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes53c1,859$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…2b8ebacked Yes60c1,625$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.981942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes80c1,400$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2833262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed No47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes48c1,178$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes16c1,140$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes56c1,120$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.112251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c912.41$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.53,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes16c865.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.3914621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No48c851.6$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c822$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.2653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…51f4backed No61c820.41$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes62c744.17$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4629038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes16c706.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.284845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes16c665.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.5616926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked No30c658.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes75c577.18$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x458b…a848backed Yes18c561.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+370.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes36c552.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes15c533.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.873060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No32c512.68$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.686250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Yes66c479.52$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.042965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes45c445.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes67c445.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.574468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b73…5763backed Yes73c437.18$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes14c377.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3110956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes75c372.78$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes47c357.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No77c261.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes48c251.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe219…d8afbacked No33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes15c212.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes68c208$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes16c200$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes68c167.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d0…68fcbacked No38c165$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d77…31cabacked Yes18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+205.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c147$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b32…8166backed Yes72c137.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes73c137.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd03…4294backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes74c126.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2517744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked No37c125.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.474126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…234dbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes17c121.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.113432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a2…ea25backed Yes72c121.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b10…befdbacked Yes75c120.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No61c117.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5814759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c117.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes46c107.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.552035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b3…5773backed Yes48c106.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe04c…d77bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffe…e125backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.13171%22 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…a202backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes17c99.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8812722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes74c98.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No32c96.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.