La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8047402e8f171359ec4b34e517dfaa87f7b384133cfa5e07bfe9cb8091a3d884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 21c | 30,103$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 30,023$23,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.2 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,594$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 35c | 3,170$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,890$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.77 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,397$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 80c | 1,313$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 1,140$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 31c | 956.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 32c | 923.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 80c | 821.17$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 3c | 735$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 31c | 514.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 8c | 510.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…6891backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 78c | 405$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 405$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 29c | 345.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 27c | 303.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 31c | 273.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 26c | 271.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes | 32c | 252.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…fdadbacked Yes | 30c | 198.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 31c | 169$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…72c0backed Yes | 30c | 163.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…22bbbacked Yes | 30c | 149.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Yes | 28c | 142.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…3ee1backed Yes | 16c | 94.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…3658backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…1eefbacked Yes | 29c | 74.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 71.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…97a7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 28c | 70.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…5efabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…3499backed Yes | 29c | 51.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…83e1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…5808backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…e6ffbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 27c | 44.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…dbf7backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…ac12backed No | 72c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 74c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.