Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb604d3a9e0be40c1e786eb96b5ae78357b75c9fe3e32c35f6a4c9d44f249fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 22,725$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 76c | 19,802$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 17,346$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.72 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 15,601$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 18c | 14,843$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.1 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 74c | 14,604$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 73c | 12,402$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 27c | 10,268$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.79 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 9,333$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.2 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 24c | 8,884$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 29c | 7,457$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed No | 27c | 7,343$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 74c | 5,637$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 74c | 5,584$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.76 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 29c | 4,874$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 18c | 4,345$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 4,017$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 17c | 3,850$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.5 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 27c | 3,166$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.92 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 28c | 2,600$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 16c | 2,550$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 25c | 2,500$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.32 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 27c | 2,490$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.23 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Yes | 72c | 2,086$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Yes | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 16c | 1,926$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.51 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 70c | 1,862$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,749$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…fa89backed Yes | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 28c | 1,455$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.89 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 73c | 1,382$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…2bb3backed Yes | 73c | 1,350$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d03…2481backed Yes | 73c | 1,334$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 1,307$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.73 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 1,277$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.87 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 73c | 1,250$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 73c | 1,237$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.07 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 73c | 1,200$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked No | 19c | 1,129$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 72c | 1,100$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 73c | 1,077$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 26c | 999.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 27c | 977.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…a493backed Yes | 72c | 952.52$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 24c | 943.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Yes | 73c | 898.22$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 862.3$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 27c | 825.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 73c | 770.5$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Yes | 65c | 762.31$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 30c | 757$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 26c | 745.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 26c | 738.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 727.33$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 27c | 714.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 73c | 689.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 27c | 680.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 28c | 676.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 72c | 658.45$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 77c | 646.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…1e03backed Yes | 73c | 615.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 72c | 615$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 27c | 569.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 569.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 73c | 542.47$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked No | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 72c | 514.72$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 511.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 27c | 505.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…c95abacked Yes | 72c | 505.1$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 72c | 489.69$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 72c | 475$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 73c | 430.47$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 73c | 426.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 22c | 420.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…600dbacked Yes | 73c | 410.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Yes | 74c | 410$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6327backed Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 73c | 399.06$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 373.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 18c | 370.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Northern Ireland vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.