AI · resolved market
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8904b9db5aff6b1b84f9daaa0f8038b661be40d883050553b5675d30002c7abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4338…a6c7backed Yes | 59c | 70,780$41,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,760.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…9d45backed No | 41c | 70,780$29,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,760.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2af7backed Yes | 60c | 68,560$41,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…2400backed No | 40c | 68,560$27,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…0559backed No | 52c | 45,823$23,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,995.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…b090backed Yes | 48c | 45,823$21,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,995.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…d93fbacked Yes | 56c | 43,000$24,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…6b40backed No | 41c | 31,722$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,715.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…d280backed Yes | 59c | 31,722$18,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,715.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…cd2cbacked No | 41c | 31,567$12,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,624.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…cd21backed No | 48c | 30,942$14,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,089.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…2fe3backed Yes | 52c | 30,942$16,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…cefbbacked Yes | 1c | 16,936$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 3c | 12,487$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…4102backed No | 44c | 11,439$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 23c | 10,174$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 66c | 7,319$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…8fc5backed Yes | 18c | 6,327$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 59c | 6,314$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5fddbacked Yes | 62c | 6,250$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…dcadbacked Yes | 40c | 6,213$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 64c | 5,975$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.29 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…0615backed Yes | 1c | 5,569$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 38c | 5,337$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Yes | 14c | 5,185$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 40c | 5,037$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 4,811$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.81 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Yes | 23c | 4,342$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…8837backed Yes | 1c | 4,312$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…fe6bbacked Yes | 35c | 4,305$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 62c | 4,272$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.97 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 30c | 3,995$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.3 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 25c | 3,924$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.08 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 68c | 3,616$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…5c3fbacked No | 52c | 3,402$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3843backed No | 71c | 2,930$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…95d4backed Yes | 28c | 2,847$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 70c | 2,777$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.69 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed Yes | 16c | 2,758$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,632$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…994abacked Yes | 1c | 2,617$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 2,600$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,571$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…a9b7backed Yes | 16c | 2,561$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…1254backed Yes | 26c | 2,552$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.07 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 72c | 2,467$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,386$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 16c | 2,161$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…63c2backed Yes | 18c | 2,161$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…99a4backed Yes | 61c | 2,071$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,064$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Yes | 31c | 1,921$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 18c | 1,838$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…fa80backed No | 56c | 1,788$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca92…009cbacked No | 76c | 1,785$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +1,134.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 77c | 1,734$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…416abacked Yes | 55c | 1,716$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,596$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…2e5abacked Yes | 53c | 1,566$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…c4d0backed Yes | 13c | 1,482$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…506bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,433$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…40acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,431$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,402$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,397$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Yes | 54c | 1,300$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 71c | 1,256$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 53c | 1,200$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 39c | 1,160$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…438dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,156$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…b393backed Yes | 35c | 1,152$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…e597backed Yes | 72c | 1,150$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 68c | 1,120$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 61c | 1,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 66c | 1,095$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…ef80backed Yes | 40c | 1,071$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…0259backed Yes | 19c | 1,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,056$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 68c | 995.27$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 965$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed Yes | 38c | 950.14$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 33c | 942.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2e8cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 34c | 902.12$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…72e6backed Yes | 45c | 874.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…3c03backed Yes | 15c | 848.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 15c | 833$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…e310backed Yes | 31c | 807.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…51eebacked Yes | 20c | 804.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed Yes | 25c | 800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…fba3backed Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…60d9backed Yes | 7c | 750.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 15c | 750$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 22c | 739.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…f6d4backed Yes | 26c | 730.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 43c | 726.24$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.