Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56848d4be72f57f7b44a1100a3c384444b5c4b39528827f112ad2465a35f3e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,014,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,266,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Yes | 70c | 214,546$149,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,590.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 30c | 140,038$41,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,392.86 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 72c | 76,338$54,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,712.02 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 28c | 75,080$21,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,262.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 55,480$17,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,198.8 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 30c | 51,092$15,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,388.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 30c | 45,500$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,649.94 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 31c | 35,000$10,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,849.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 72c | 31,000$22,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 29c | 29,308$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.43 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.94 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 32c | 24,758$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 75c | 20,125$15,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.71 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 19,888$14,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.78 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 26c | 17,500$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 14,279$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.98 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 71c | 14,020$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 30c | 12,206$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.8 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 8,701$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.81 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…176bbacked No | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 30c | 6,661$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.4 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 28c | 6,459$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 6,453$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 76c | 6,000$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 71c | 5,600$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 27c | 5,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 14c | 4,783$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.16 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 4,763$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.6 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 16c | 4,761$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.43 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 72c | 4,531$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.91 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 3c | 3,914$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 14c | 3,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 6c | 3,451$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 2c | 3,093$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 2,969$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 16c | 2,397$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,380$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 72c | 2,252$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 14c | 2,068$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 1,997$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,981$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 71c | 1,870$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 69c | 1,846$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.75 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 14c | 1,837$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,835$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.63 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 24c | 1,765$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,665$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…529bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,548$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 33c | 1,450$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 70c | 1,265$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 71c | 1,256$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 68c | 1,180$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 70c | 1,154$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 72c | 1,049$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed No | 31c | 974.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed No | 32c | 937.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…732abacked Yes | 70c | 860.55$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 18c | 853.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 844.16$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.25 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed Yes | 72c | 811$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 72c | 801.59$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 70c | 719.23$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 30c | 711$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 72c | 702.78$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 26c | 690.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 69c | 663.19$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yes | 71c | 657.75$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 69c | 650.72$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 72c | 625.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 589.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 70c | 572.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 30c | 572$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…18bcbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 72c | 556.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 72c | 537.9$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 72c | 506.67$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 72c | 500.39$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 8c | 491$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.