Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8039088b4c526bef04bb982b9ba68f124316b69062305599484d2411b52ff60e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 56c | 388,950$217,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,592.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 43c | 312,239$133,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,962.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 45c | 93,869$42,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,241.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 58c | 45,761$26,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,314.89 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 43c | 39,729$16,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,924.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 57c | 17,780$10,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564.39 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 13,188$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,834.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 44c | 7,500$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.99 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 44c | 5,855$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 5,525$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.08 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 59c | 5,433$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.42 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 5c | 3,129$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 46c | 3,046$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.29 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.47 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,877$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.31 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 41c | 1,604$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 62c | 1,155$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 58c | 946.55$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 44c | 914.2$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 47c | 885.05$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 37c | 827.66$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 803$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 22c | 800$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 629.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 62c | 514.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 63c | 480$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 43c | 414$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 380.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 70c | 361.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 71c | 341.04$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 297$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 55c | 291.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 62c | 270.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…ec1bbacked Yes | 58c | 255.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 80c | 222.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 44c | 205$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 58c | 203.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 46c | 198.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 34c | 192$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 47c | 178.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 58c | 170.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 164.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 56c | 153.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 130.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 57c | 123.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 44c | 121.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed Yes | 58c | 113.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 47c | 109.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 48c | 104.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…8a99backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 50c | 94.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 59c | 93.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…cad4backed Yes | 57c | 89.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed No | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 54c | 73.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…1d33backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 58c | 68.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Udinese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.