TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.998944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No23c36,824$8,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,469.534052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c15,992$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.011,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No19c8,688$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.1610752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No24c7,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9814346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c5,095$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.451,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No14c4,989$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.1337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes75c4,692$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No24c4,043$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.221323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes76c3,720$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.1514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c3,688$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.3871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes76c2,854$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.954645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c2,339$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.86368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c2,335$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.3719055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes80c2,198$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes77c2,060$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.73666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes75c1,986$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No24c1,941$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.924030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No24c1,919$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.491625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No23c1,746$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.692920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No26c1,655$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No25c1,638$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No22c1,629$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes75c1,390$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No24c1,335$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes76c1,090$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5323153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c1,020$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.271850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No23c1,011$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes76c1,001$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.756157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No25c994.34$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.599140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes76c900$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed No25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No24c799.96$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes76c677$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.481181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No5c669.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.882832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.895461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes75c570$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No24c558.36$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.013050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No24c499.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No24c479.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6912339.8%49 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes76c395.75$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes76c353.8$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes77c326.4$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No22c322.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.179348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96b…b045backed Yes76c305.49$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514c…5045backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes76c257.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c251.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.195366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6e…7a2bbacked Yes77c232.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No19c230$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes74c216.49$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.896553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Yes76c209.21$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No24c205$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.61580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes75c198.72$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6827244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked No25c188.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes73c174.29$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.971450%7 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No23c166.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes76c164.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Yes75c152.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes76c148.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5223151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes76c139.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes75c133.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes76c132.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.833151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0c9…6538backed Yes76c132.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e898backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a92…a9f5backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c7…e539backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes74c130.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…ed31backed Yes76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be4…4a2cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No25c120.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes80c112$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4716242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes76c104.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed No24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes75c102.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.672429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.