Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcb290d0c1866372d6519db936b6fd76db3b6eb71fd0fc9cb6a6531dd0cee07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $567,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 47c | 319,999$150,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,599.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 53c | 197,513$104,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,537.29 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 50c | 59,269$29,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,799.67 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 53c | 50,000$26,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 41c | 47,372$19,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,155.82 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 26,374$13,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,890.16 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 20,706$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,731.18 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Yes | 53c | 18,969$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 32c | 13,395$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,161.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 52c | 11,909$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.85 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 43c | 11,500$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 54c | 6,605$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.06 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 48c | 6,222$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 6,024$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.98 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 4,188$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.53 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.31 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 57c | 3,860$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 43c | 3,656$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.27 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 48c | 3,589$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.28 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 53c | 3,509$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.96 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 35c | 3,393$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.81 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 50c | 2,666$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 2,581$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.15 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 2,568$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.28 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.57 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…df38backed Yes | 53c | 1,906$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,612$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.99 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked No | 46c | 1,513$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 48c | 1,423$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.14 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 44c | 1,400$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 53c | 1,381$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 58c | 1,363$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.36 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 47c | 1,356$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.88 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 45c | 1,342$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.71 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 53c | 1,179$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 55c | 1,017$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 46c | 1,015$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.96 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Yes | 59c | 975.29$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 62c | 963.64$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 943.02$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.22 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 48c | 875$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 48c | 851.19$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.81 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 38c | 808.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 58c | 786.53$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.07 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 56c | 716.65$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 54c | 700$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 692.51$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.77 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes | 53c | 676.75$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 53c | 610.78$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 45c | 584.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 28c | 581.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 53c | 564.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 53c | 561.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 53c | 521$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 521$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 53c | 516.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 55c | 479.7$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 44c | 454.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 53c | 439.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Yes | 53c | 435$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 21c | 426.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 60c | 419.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 48c | 417.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 48c | 408$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 59c | 407.63$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 404.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 49c | 392$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 52c | 388.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…b925backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…c3efbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 53c | 368.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 58c | 346.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 53c | 340.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.