Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554fd9ab2a3995b67cff800f1f80e1f85124762e9d3b23805ebf231e298ea164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 25c | 32,618$8,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.29 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 20,071$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,570.53 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 6c | 6,252$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Yes | 62c | 5,960$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 24c | 4,639$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.2 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 4,472$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 3,845$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 3,454$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.28 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 2,301$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.73 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 59c | 1,359$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 1,240$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 12c | 1,130$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 74c | 962$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.88 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 868.75$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 73c | 856.11$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.96 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 73c | 851$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.04 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 49c | 795.97$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.91 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 707.71$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 26c | 452.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 63c | 415.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 21c | 395.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 73c | 353$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 73c | 350$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…a76bbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 272.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 77c | 260.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 255.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…b925backed Yes | 40c | 218.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 26c | 190.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 186.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 26c | 154$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 55c | 144.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 74c | 121$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…d875backed Yes | 55c | 117.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 49c | 107.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 95.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 60c | 82.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 75c | 77.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed No | 37c | 54.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 41.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…aa94backed No | 75c | 30.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 74c | 30.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 37c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…6600backed Yes | 41c | 26.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 56c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 75c | 25.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.