TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Trail Blazers52c18,515$9,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,887.2525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers50c15,619$7,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,845.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers48c15,285$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.991,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers51c12,887$6,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers50c10,607$5,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,303.691,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers50c8,223$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers55c7,841$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers51c5,016$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers50c4,895$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Clippers49c3,535$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.1225753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers36c3,352$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Clippers34c3,292$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.0719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers49c1,894$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.911,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Trail Blazers52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.496543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Clippers49c1,438$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers49c1,394$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Trail Blazers45c1,340$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.936556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Clippers48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Clippers49c1,187$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.644348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Trail Blazers50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Clippers48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Clippers50c1,071$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.444032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers44c1,063$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.7449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Clippers49c1,008$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0120651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Clippers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Clippers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4705143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Clippers49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9814059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers50c989.4$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa010…98bdbacked Trail Blazers53c988.32$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Trail Blazers50c889.74$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Clippers50c848.02$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Trail Blazers59c815.63$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.541,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Trail Blazers51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.012218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Trail Blazers52c641.5$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Trail Blazers65c458.43$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.452552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Trail Blazers50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1947337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers47c369.18$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.41,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Trail Blazers50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Trail Blazers51c353.57$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Trail Blazers55c352.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.213745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Trail Blazers73c346.07$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Trail Blazers51c329.72$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Trail Blazers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Clippers43c293.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x715a…3a07backed Trail Blazers52c288.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e3…eee6backed Clippers50c286.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Trail Blazers52c283.59$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.291,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Clippers49c258.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.684156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Clippers4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Clippers9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers52c229.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers45c204.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Clippers33c201.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.935752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Clippers49c196.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.353641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c1…0afebacked Trail Blazers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2536143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Clippers49c185.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.912450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Trail Blazers50c168.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers52c167.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.052,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers50c163.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Trail Blazers58c158.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb7…c6e4backed Clippers51c152.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Trail Blazers51c151.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa630…2359backed Clippers50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Trail Blazers52c147.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Trail Blazers46c147.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers50c136.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Clippers36c133.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0744347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Trail Blazers36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Trail Blazers36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.812637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Trail Blazers51c117.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers48c113.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.561,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Trail Blazers52c111.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.639154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers51c103.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Trail Blazers51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Trail Blazers51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Clippers50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Clippers45c96.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Clippers35c96.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Clippers54c95.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers52c93.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2151651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Trail Blazers51c88.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Clippers49c87.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6524250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Clippers50c83.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3614845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Clippers47c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7327138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers42c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Clippers49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.783351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers43c71.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.871,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Trail Blazers74c66.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.561,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Trail Blazers38c65.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Clippers36c64.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2723445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Trail Blazers79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Clippers47c61.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.051822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Trail Blazers45c60.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x03df…1dbabacked Trail Blazers52c60.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Trail Blazers36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.