NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956253c6b54522f180a62e293419a883ecf970182a8bfa9d9b97eb4d437df91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 10,763$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.75 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 7,725$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.66 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 3,666$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 3,632$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,332$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,274$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.38 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 48c | 841.65$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 769.26$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.67 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 716.02$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 705.17$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 619.4$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 598.57$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 46c | 476.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 383.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 297.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 15c | 286.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.72 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 20c | 258.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under | 49c | 255.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 225.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 49c | 200.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 51c | 198.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 192.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 189.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 174.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 48c | 165.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 157.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 49c | 151.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 146$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 44c | 136.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 54c | 107.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 49c | 100.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 48c | 86.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 81.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 73.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 73.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 47c | 71.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 48c | 69.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…8804backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 47c | 47.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 44.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 47c | 41.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 53c | 36.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 57c | 34.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 44c | 34.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 50c | 32.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 41c | 29.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 54c | 29.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 49c | 25.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…1b08backed Under | 53c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 66c | 22.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 53c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.