NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c1a590f72b850d6b5a80867709083f07aecb9573ce4e705dc38738af8acdce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 58c | 336.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 44c | 303.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 262.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Under | 25c | 224.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 201.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 8c | 195.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 78c | 194.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 182.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 131.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 109.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 25c | 104.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 77c | 85.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 43c | 78.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 58c | 68.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 66.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 59c | 65.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 42c | 59.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Over | 49c | 52.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 54c | 50.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 27c | 48.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 55c | 48.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 38.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 31c | 38.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 38.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 38c | 35.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 32.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 69c | 27.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 64c | 25.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.