TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c59,712$30,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,576.851,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c14,041$7,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,798.9832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c13,785$6,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,830.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over50c12,318$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.5114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c11,811$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,814.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…9c1bbacked Over50c8,292$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c7,108$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.0521943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c6,807$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over59c3,332$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over52c2,243$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.416741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over50c2,183$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.254535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c2,156$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.3114251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c1,729$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c1,422$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.51,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,408$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over48c1,001$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over49c989.96$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.085635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c962.61$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c899.36$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over49c844.76$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c692.77$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Under51c568.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7424139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over51c512$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.091,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c498.13$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6519258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Under51c432.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19668944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under52c395.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c395.52$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.511566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under52c363.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c323.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.511,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under51c322.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0939448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c256.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over54c250.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over48c224.87$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c197.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over9c190.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over52c185.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.152218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c180.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under41c170.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over59c165.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under51c145.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under51c142.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c124.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c110.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c102.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c98.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.636167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c94.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Under51c92.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8422454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over50c87.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6512542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over47c85.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.997057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Over51c83.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.677248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Under51c79.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.177149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over49c69.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under51c66.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6437755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c62.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over48c61.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3616653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c59.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.125843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over52c53.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.88347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Under51c51.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.15251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2516951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c48.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over49c47.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5827354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under52c46.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.324766%31 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Under52c46.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.197550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under38c45.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0410637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13b0…2f69backed Over50c44.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.313630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c43.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5926…a9debacked Under44c42.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6517349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.656544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under52c37.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.183158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under40c37.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.615540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under50c37.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…2a68backed Under51c37.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c36.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Under51c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7215053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84c…efd5backed Over50c35.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under51c34.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c32.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.