NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841f89ca3928c14a6a8b9fd39e90378e3f24d212d7643ea2117b67584e2b5349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,390$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…8548backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 69c | 724.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 722.13$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 496.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.83 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 492.04$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 51c | 446.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 46c | 271.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Over | 51c | 201.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 150.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Under | 46c | 147.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 119.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 110.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 106.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 94.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 52c | 89.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 82.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 57c | 79.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 65.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 62.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over | 59c | 54.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Over | 51c | 54.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 52.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 46c | 52.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 42.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 46c | 38.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 53c | 36.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 45c | 34.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Under | 45c | 34.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 31.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 43c | 29.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 52c | 27.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 52c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 53c | 22.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 73c | 22.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…a56fbacked Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.