TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over64c16,043$10,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,325.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c14,640$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,498.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over53c12,173$6,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.8716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c10,312$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,465.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c2,673$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under53c2,600$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c2,018$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.72,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over47c1,821$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c1,738$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over49c1,496$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.11338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c1,461$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.7795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,453$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over34c1,406$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under33c1,276$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over51c1,213$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over3c1,197$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5288948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb4…4039backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under46c1,021$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c923.84$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.241,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c822.57$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over55c644.51$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.991,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c624.34$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under53c591.71$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c508.38$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c474.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under54c404.08$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over61c400.62$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.146741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…89cdbacked Over48c396.12$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c360.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.915,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c354.8$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over47c324.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18316159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c295.03$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under39c289.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c287.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Under32c285.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.412250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Over53c263.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Over48c259.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.731942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under49c239.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1320146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under46c203.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.713948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under53c193.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2339864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1813148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c174.04$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.851,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over56c169.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4911040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa630…2359backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c145.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c141.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under40c140.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under41c138.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Under41c138.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.943348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Under41c138.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.943647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over61c126.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.951,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.795843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c110.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c108.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under39c102.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under47c98.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2814649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over54c90.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under39c90.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3710657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under41c86.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.147057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c80.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2634247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under43c70.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under39c66.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over59c64.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under39c63.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5510447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under39c59.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under53c58.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5533653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under52c56.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1718444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under39c56.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under39c55.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1819254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under40c52.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c50.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…7ddebacked Over39c49.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under54c49.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.726543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under44c46.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0444347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over65c44.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6714845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c42.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.168654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under48c42.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.122047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c41.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3614253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over47c40.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.373938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c39.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under39c39.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.933551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over53c38.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4112458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over66c37.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.078958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ec3…2c88backed Under54c37.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Over41c37.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.423158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c37.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c36.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…0b82backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under39c34.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x472e…b2ccbacked Under76c32.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under37c32.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.