NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7d31524691352afd11fd2883d11e43f328fee25c4a5978b4e42040e3f96abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Cowboys, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,706,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,756,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,706,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 55c | 405,614$224,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,007.7 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Cowboys | 60c | 320,922$192,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,553.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Panthers | 41c | 213,324$87,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,861.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Panthers | 40c | 175,368$70,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,221.09 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 40c | 153,567$61,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,140.11 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Panthers | 41c | 130,000$52,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,199.99 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 59c | 108,274$64,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,242.8 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Cowboys | 60c | 63,333$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cowboys | 59c | 63,250$37,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,317.5 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Cowboys | 59c | 60,900$35,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,931 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Panthers | 45c | 57,746$26,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,613.31 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 48c | 51,752$24,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,988.76 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Cowboys | 62c | 48,778$30,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,200.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Panthers | 38c | 38,075$14,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,524.7 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers | 45c | 37,874$17,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,871.31 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers | 42c | 37,688$15,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,994.85 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers | 40c | 34,393$13,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,680.25 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 40c | 26,948$10,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,168.8 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cowboys | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Panthers | 38c | 24,953$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,470.63 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Panthers | 43c | 23,025$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.52 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Panthers | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Cowboys | 50c | 19,869$9,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,921.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 39c | 19,326$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,788.7 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 37c | 16,700$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 42c | 16,422$6,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,560.5 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cowboys | 55c | 16,275$8,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,931.26 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 46c | 16,067$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.72 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cowboys | 52c | 14,552$7,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,535.25 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Cowboys | 59c | 13,336$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,868.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cowboys | 60c | 11,313$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.02 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Panthers | 40c | 10,871$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.39 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 40c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Panthers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 39c | 8,939$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Panthers | 39c | 8,500$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.98 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Panthers | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Panthers | 40c | 5,351$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.73 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Panthers | 40c | 5,015$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 40c | 4,810$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.1 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Cowboys | 60c | 4,687$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…05d3backed Panthers | 76c | 4,638$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 43c | 4,401$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.89 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Panthers | 34c | 4,334$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.9 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panthers | 55c | 3,993$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.8 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Panthers | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.14 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 38c | 3,378$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.71 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Panthers | 41c | 3,293$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.68 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys | 56c | 3,161$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.74 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Cowboys | 54c | 3,075$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.29 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys | 60c | 3,068$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Panthers | 31c | 3,053$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.3 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cowboys | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Panthers | 39c | 2,861$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.36 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cowboys | 67c | 2,832$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.53 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…4f40backed Cowboys | 55c | 2,549$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Cowboys | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cowboys | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Cowboys | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Cowboys | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers | 39c | 2,474$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.6 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 39c | 2,394$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.27 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Panthers | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.5 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers | 33c | 2,086$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.66 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Cowboys | 61c | 2,080$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Panthers | 47c | 2,020$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.74 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Cowboys | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Panthers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 40c | 1,896$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.43 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Panthers | 40c | 1,832$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…a48dbacked Cowboys | 61c | 1,809$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Panthers | 40c | 1,809$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Cowboys | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cowboys | 61c | 1,778$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.39 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Panthers | 35c | 1,754$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Panthers | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Cowboys | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Cowboys | 60c | 1,687$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Panthers | 40c | 1,685$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 36c | 1,531$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.84 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cowboys | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Cowboys | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Panthers | 40c | 1,387$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Panthers | 39c | 1,349$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.97 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…ed30backed Cowboys | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Cowboys | 55c | 1,162$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cowboys | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Panthers | 79c | 1,110$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Cowboys | 53c | 1,088$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Cowboys | 6c | 1,071$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cowboys | 61c | 1,051$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.29 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Cowboys | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Panthers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Cowboys | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Cowboys | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Panthers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Panthersthis page
- Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.