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NFL · resolved market

Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Cowboys, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers57c137,597$78,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,465.2841851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cowboys43c83,000$35,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,690.1327454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Cowboys44c39,409$17,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,336.3818156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Cowboys43c35,230$15,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,148.95048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panthers56c23,503$13,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,350.7325956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Cowboys44c20,013$8,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,805.5413450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers57c12,007$6,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.1320755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cowboys47c11,515$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.0568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Panthers52c9,911$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.3841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35a…c07dbacked Cowboys43c7,588$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Panthers56c6,551$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.3283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa472…45aebacked Cowboys43c6,500$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.982133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Panthers57c4,705$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.1710552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys43c4,015$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.1551352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Panthers57c3,720$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.620661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cowboys44c3,347$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.656124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Cowboys44c1,910$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.47143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73115044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Panthers54c1,514$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys45c1,418$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Panthers56c1,302$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7911750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Cowboys44c1,195$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Panthers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Cowboys41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4107644.7%34 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Cowboys46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Cowboys43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304415.9%7 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Panthers58c859.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.355334%18 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cowboys43c802.56$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.117648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Cowboys43c759.16$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9131350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys41c714.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.881,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Panthers59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2874443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Panthers57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers57c699.97$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9926648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cowboys42c688.66$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9441248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Cowboys41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Cowboys44c590.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Cowboys43c530.76$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.236246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…d135backed Cowboys44c477.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad45…c2eabacked Panthers58c439.66$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.662737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0891…508abacked Cowboys46c434.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers54c431.97$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7524456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Cowboys44c402$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8832347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Cowboys43c369.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Panthers57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.819459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Panthers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8828047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Panthers58c333$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8610345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Panthers52c290.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4216451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Panthers58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.622445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Cowboys43c235$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.058143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e3…68b9backed Cowboys43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Cowboys44c227.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Panthers57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.33256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys41c202$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1577052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Cowboys42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Cowboys44c193.18$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Panthers55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys42c144.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.611,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Panthers57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.24748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…3984backed Cowboys43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Cowboys43c115$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.456036.7%22 W · 38 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Panthers56c110.71$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7112755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Cowboys43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Panthers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4329751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Cowboys43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313455.2%74 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Cowboys43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…f1b3backed Panthers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Panthers58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Panthers58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9719844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Panthers59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Panthers56c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4441450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Cowboys44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Cowboys46c54.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Panthers57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Panthers58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Cowboys43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Cowboys44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Cowboys44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207157.7%41 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…74f0backed Cowboys44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Panthers57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.217060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5d…7af4backed Panthers59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Cowboys44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Panthers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Panthers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Cowboys43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1171…ff19backed Panthers58c29.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Cowboys43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfca9…cb3dbacked Panthers57c26.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.424431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Cowboys59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Panthers56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Panthers58c17.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2710555.2%58 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.