TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c33,197$17,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,934.662774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c7,872$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.3210246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under48c7,064$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.85438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over42c6,681$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.1710739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,043$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c4,964$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.4176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c4,959$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.713735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over52c3,734$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c3,618$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.622,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over53c3,401$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.6115255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under48c2,877$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.854052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c2,807$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.1710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under48c2,560$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under48c2,337$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,174$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.611,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c1,866$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under31c1,671$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.591020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over53c1,652$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c1,366$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.682060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under2c1,297$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.555729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,192$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.1774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c1,182$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.8927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,102$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.718756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under65c1,096$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under69c1,044$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.711753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under58c1,011$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.728445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7514459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under37c943.6$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.71,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over72c885.34$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.838159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over52c849.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.994938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c799.79$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.926444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over53c777.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.414354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over53c777.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.412757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Over28c672.95$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over55c603.28$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.472050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under48c588.34$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.44540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c474.32$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.686758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c470.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under48c464.69$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.059152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under49c453.05$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.013661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over46c449.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c440.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c434.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0341850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under75c411.38$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.647342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c376.07$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.211,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Over53c369.3$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over72c352.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.018659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over53c311.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.964238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.473650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under71c253.39$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under54c248.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c236.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3414055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over32c226.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over52c211.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.631947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c200.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c199.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3512558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over54c187.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over52c185.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.916253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over54c181.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.66541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under39c174.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.711636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under48c172.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.032040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under37c165.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.998757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under47c164.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.362650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over51c153.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.637439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under9c149.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.142142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c100.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.171,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4511229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked Over76c98.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.878040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c95.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.046225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over53c90.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.482,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.489549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under74c77.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.625332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under48c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under58c76.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed Over53c76.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over51c75.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9819356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under51c75.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.835032%16 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8625057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c74.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7417244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under70c69.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.813551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under26c68.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.484060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Under47c67.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.813638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over48c67.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under18c67.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8918842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c63.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c63.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c60.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8311842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over51c57.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.969355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under20c53.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.224065%26 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.