Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdade513f261b451b4e759327ca7d99814c799f824d2f99590f241034b7ce6960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 16c | 1,187$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 73c | 1,002$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 786.1$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…48babacked Under | 80c | 727.13$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 424.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 35c | 240.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 160.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 127.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 41c | 118.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 33c | 97.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 43c | 96.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 89.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 62.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 57c | 53.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 58c | 52.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 59c | 52.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Under | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…b679backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 69c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…2e3dbacked Under | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 18.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Under | 80c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.